Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Jays sign Delgado?

5 Minutes Later Update: Alex Anthopoulos has denied the Delgado rumours (via MLB.com's Jordan Bastian).  Shows me for trying to catch the story as it breaks.



A week later and I'm forced to eat my words?



Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets at Citi Field in New York

Word out of Puerto Rico (via MLB.com's Noah Coslov) has Delgado signing with Toronto.  I'd ask you to call me a sceptic, but the DJFs have already done that, so I suppose in the interest of being different I won't.

Let's compare four players:

2009 Stats:
Player A: 115 PA, .313/.385/.635, 10 HR, 17 RBI
Player B: 112 PA, .298/.393/.521, 4 HR, 15 RBI
Player C: 500 PA, .265/.372/.466, 16 HR, 64 RBI

Projected (Bill James) 2010 Stats:
Player A: 194 PA, .294/.352/.517, 9 HR, 31 RBI
Player B: 465 PA, .263/.361/.494, 23 HR, 79 RBI
Player C: 460 PA, .267/.359/.443, 15 HR, 63 RBI

Just looking at the numbers, player B seems like a slightly better offensive player.  More power than player C, better on base (and less BA-based) than player A.  If the Delgado signing is true, then these three will have to fit into one and a half batting positions.  Overbay, player C, is the far superior defender.  Ruiz, player A, doesn't have a position and would likely have to DH, but he is the only right-handed option for platooning.  The real question: is Delgado better enough with the bat to displace the superior defender (Overbay)?  My vote is no.  And the more Delgado DHs, the more Lind has to play LF, which is no good for anyone.

So yeah, I'm sceptical on this report.  Nostalgia may be able to sign tickets, but not enough to justify it.  Not to mention that Brett Wallace kid in AAA.

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